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The WNBA action on July 22, 2026, promises to be nothing short of electrifying as some of the league's most compelling teams hit the court. With playoff positions on the line, the stakes couldn't be higher. From the powerhouse Las Vegas Aces taking on the resilient Washington Mystics, to the Dallas Wings visiting the ambitious Portland Fire, and the Phoenix Mercury battling the Los Angeles Sparks, there's no shortage of drama on the horizon.
First up, the Las Vegas Aces (18-7) will travel to face the Washington Mystics (13-12). The Aces, led by the unstoppable A'ja Wilson, who is projected to drop 25.6 points and grab 9.8 rebounds, are poised to extend their winning streak. Wilson's dominance in the paint and Jackie Young's versatile playmaking abilities (16.7 points, 5.2 assists) are key to the Aces' strategy. However, the Mystics won't go down without a fight, especially with Sonia Citron's scoring prowess and Shakira Austin's tenacity on the boards.
According to our GameSim prediction, Las Vegas has a 57% chance of victory, with a projected final score of 86.9 to 81.7. The Aces are favored by a 6-point spread, and the game's total is set at 164.5 points, promising a high-scoring affair.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Wings (17-9) face a tough challenge on the road against the Portland Fire (11-15). Dallas is spearheaded by the dynamic Paige Bueckers, anticipated to lead her team with 20.2 points and 4.8 assists. Yet, the Fire, playing in front of their home crowd, have the edge in our simulations with a 54% win probability. Bridget Carleton is expected to shine for Portland, contributing significantly to what could be a thrilling victory.
Our simulations predict a close contest with Portland narrowly edging out Dallas 89.1 to 85.8, challenging the Wings to overcome a 5-point spread.
In another Western showdown, the struggling Phoenix Mercury (9-18) lock horns with the Los Angeles Sparks (10-15). Despite their recent woes, Phoenix will look to Kahleah Copper to disrupt the Sparks' defense. On the flip side, Nneka Ogwumike is predicted to be a force to reckon with, as she aims to dominate with 17.6 points and 13.3 rebounds.
The Sparks are favored to win with a 56% probability, and the predicted scoreline of 86.8 to 82.0 suggests a competitive clash with a 178.5 over/under, potentially making this a must-watch game for fans.
For those eager to dive deeper into player performances and game insights, detailed projected player stats are available exclusively to GameSim+ subscribers. Learn more and subscribe to gain access to all the in-depth analysis and predictions you need to stay ahead of the game.
