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Summer is heating up, and so is the WNBA action on May 12, 2026. We’re spotlighting three must-see matchups that promise intense competition and dazzling performances on the court. Let’s dive into the details of what makes each game a marquee event.
The Minnesota Lynx travel to face the Phoenix Mercury, a clash that’s set to sizzle under the Arizona sun. Our model gives Phoenix a 58% chance to win, predicting a close score of 90.3-84.2 in favor of the Mercury. This game is more than just a battle for points; it’s a battle of titans in women’s basketball.
All eyes will be on Phoenix’s Kahleah Copper, projected to unleash a scoring frenzy with 31.6 points, alongside 7.3 rebounds and 3.1 assists. Her teammate, Alyssa Thomas, is not far behind, expected to deliver a triple-double performance with 26.2 points, 18.5 rebounds, and 12.6 assists. For the Lynx, Olivia Miles and Natasha Howard are the ones to watch, aiming to counter with potent performances of 23.8 points and 20.8 points respectively.
Can the Lynx disrupt the Mercury’s rhythm, or will Phoenix shine in their home court? Find out more about the game predictions here.
Next, we head to Texas where the Atlanta Dream take on the Dallas Wings. Dallas is favored with a 61% win probability, as the game is expected to end with a 93.0-84.1 scoreline, supporting the Wings’ dominance at home.
Dallas will lean on Arike Ogunbowale and Paige Bueckers, both projected to contribute significantly to the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Atlanta's Rhyne Howard will be the pivotal player for the Dream, projected to score 22.5 points with strong support from Allisha Gray and Angel Reese.
Which team will take flight? Explore the full game breakdown here.
Finally, the New York Liberty head west to face the Portland Fire. With a commanding 78% likelihood of victory and a predicted 101.7-79.0 score, New York is set to dominate.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty’s charge with a jaw-dropping projection of 48.5 points, 24.7 rebounds, and 9.9 assists. Jonquel Jones is also set to make waves with her double-double potential. For Portland, Bridget Carleton will need to fire up her team with her own standout numbers.
Will the Liberty’s star power prove too much for the Fire? Dive into the complete predictions here.
Remember, detailed projected player stats for these games and more are available exclusively to our GameSim+ subscribers. Learn more and subscribe now to get the insider edge on every matchup.
