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The college basketball world turns its attention to Lawrence, Kansas on January 16, 2026, for a classic Big 12 showdown as the Baylor Bears visit the Kansas Jayhawks. With Kansas holding the #13 national rank and a proud tradition of defending their home court at Allen Fieldhouse, this matchup promises to deliver intense action and high drama.

The atmosphere is expected to be electric as Kansas, buoyed by their 63% win probability according to our simulations, looks to capitalize on their home advantage. The Jayhawks are projected to edge out Baylor with a predicted score of 83.7 to 73.1, surpassing both the Vegas spread of -7.5 and the over/under of 155.5 points.
Leading the charge for Kansas is Darryn Peterson, whose anticipated 25.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.5 assists could be the key to breaking down Baylor’s defenses. His ability to score from anywhere on the court makes him a player to watch. Tre White adds significant muscle to the Jayhawks' lineup, projected to snag 8.6 rebounds alongside his 14.6 points, providing the kind of balanced performance that could swing the game in Kansas's favor.
Flory Bidunga, another Jayhawk powerhouse, is expected to dominate the boards with 9.6 rebounds, complementing his 11.1 points per game. Meanwhile, Melvin Council Jr. is set to orchestrate the Kansas offense with 4.2 assists, ensuring the ball movement remains fluid and strategic.
On the other side of the court, Baylor's Cameron Carr is no slouch. With a projected 15.0 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 1.8 assists, he will be pivotal in Baylor’s quest to upset the home team. Alongside him, Tounde Yessoufou’s expected 14.4 points and 7.4 rebounds could be crucial in battling Kansas's formidable front line.
For Kansas, sustaining a high tempo and capitalizing on their depth will be crucial. Their ability to maintain pressure both offensively and defensively could exploit any weaknesses in Baylor's game plan. Conversely, Baylor will need to focus on tightening their defense and leveraging fast breaks to counter Kansas's offensive prowess.
With both teams boasting strong lineups and strategic depth, this game is set to be a classic. For fans and bettors alike, the clash offers a tantalizing mix of strategic basketball, athleticism, and the thrill of unpredictability.
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