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It’s a sizzling night in college basketball as three marquee matchups promise heart-pounding action and dramatic swings on January 10, 2026. Fans of high-stakes hoops will want to keep their eyes glued to these games, each with its own narrative of rivalry, redemption, and ranking implications.
The SEC showdown between the #13 Tennessee Volunteers and the #18 Florida Gators is slated to be a nail-biter. Both teams are vying for supremacy in the conference, and our simulation gives the slightest edge to Florida, predicting a 74.5 to 72.4 victory.
Florida's Thomas Haugh is poised to be a key factor, projected to score 14.6 points and grab 5.6 rebounds. Not far behind is teammate Xaivian Lee, contributing 11.1 points and 4.0 rebounds per game. Tennessee's Ja'Kobi Gillespie will be crucial to their offense, with predictions of 14.7 points and 3.3 assists. With Florida holding a 53% win probability, the Gators are slight favorites, but anything can happen when these two powerhouses clash on the court.
Meanwhile, in Durham, the #5 Duke Blue Devils are ready to defend their home court against the #21 SMU Mustangs. Duke's consistent performance has them favored with a 60% win probability, as our models project an 82.8 to 74.7 victory.
Cameron Boozer is expected to lead Duke's charge, dominating with a projected 21.2 points and 9.6 rebounds. SMU will counter with Boopie Miller, who is anticipated to deliver 15.3 points and 5.2 assists. This matchup is not just about rankings but about SMU's chance to make a statement against a top-tier opponent. Duke’s home advantage and depth might just be the edge they need to maintain their top-five position.
Finally, the battle between the #15 Nebraska Cornhuskers and the #24 Indiana Hoosiers is set to be a thriller. Our simulations suggest a tight game, with Nebraska slightly favored to win 76.3 to 75.2.
Pryce Sandfort is expected to be Nebraska's standout, projected to score 17.3 points. Indiana’s Lamar Wilkerson will look to match him, with predictions of 17.1 points. Both teams are eager to solidify their standings, and with only a 51% win probability in favor of Nebraska, this game could swing either way.
With these matchups, the stakes are sky-high and the potential for upsets is tantalizing. Whether it’s Florida looking to topple a higher-ranked Tennessee or SMU aiming to shock Duke, each game offers a storyline worth following.
For those hungry for more insights, detailed projected player stats are available exclusively to GameSim+ subscribers. Dive deeper into the numbers and enhance your game-watching experience by learning more at GameSim+.
